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Hurricane HILARY (Text)

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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
0900Z MON AUG 22 2005
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CANCELLED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 110.7W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......240NE 120SE 100SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 300SE 175SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 110.7W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.9N 112.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.7N 114.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.2N 116.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.6N 117.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 22.5N 122.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 23.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 110.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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