| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane FERNANDA (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062005
2100Z SAT AUG 13 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 127.9W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 55NE  40SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 127.9W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 127.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.1N 129.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.7N 130.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.2N 132.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.7N 134.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N 137.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.0N 141.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 145.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 127.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
FORECASTER SISKO/AVILA
 
 
$$
NNNN