Hurricane FERNANDA

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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062005
1500Z SAT AUG 13 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 127.1W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..145NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 127.1W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 126.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.2N 128.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.8N 129.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.3N 131.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.8N 133.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.9N 136.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 127.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
FORECASTER SISKO/AVILA
 
 
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