Hurricane FERNANDA

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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062005
0300Z SAT AUG 13 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 125.6W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 125.6W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 125.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.1N 126.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.1N 128.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.7N 130.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N 131.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.2N 135.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 16.5N 138.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 16.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 125.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
 
 
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