Tropical Storm EUGENE

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TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052005
1500Z TUE JUL 19 2005
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA ON
THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF BUENAVISTA ON THE EAST COAST.  THIS
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 108.1W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  40SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 108.1W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 107.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 22.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.6N 114.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.0N 116.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 23.0N 119.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 108.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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