Tropical Depression TWO-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022005
0900Z WED JUN 22 2005
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.9W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 104.9W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 104.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.9N 106.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.5N 112.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 17.5N 119.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 104.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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