Hurricane ADRIAN

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HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012005
2100Z THU MAY 19 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE EASTWARD ALONG THE EL SALVADOR COAST TO THE
EL SALVADOR-HONDURAS BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE GOLFO DE FONSECA...AND FOR THE PACIFIC
COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM SIPACATE WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA-MEXICO
BORDER.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  90.3W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  90.3W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  90.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.8N  89.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  40SE  40SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.2N  87.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.8N  85.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.4N  83.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 25.0N  70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL ZONE
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  90.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
 
 
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