Hurricane ADRIAN

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TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP012005
0300Z WED MAY 18 2005
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST FROM SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TO EL
SALVADOR SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  94.7W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  94.7W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N  94.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 10.7N  93.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.4N  92.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.3N  91.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT... 20NE  70SE  50SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 20.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N  94.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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