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Tropical Storm GAMMA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL272005
2100Z FRI NOV 18 2005
 
AT 3 PM CST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.  THE
GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 3 PM CST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO PUNTA ALLEN.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  85.6W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  85.6W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  85.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.8N  86.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.3N  86.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  35SE  35SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.2N  87.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  35SE  35SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.0N  86.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 25.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 35.0N  71.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  85.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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