Hurricane WILMA

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HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL242005
0300Z SUN OCT 23 2005
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.  A
HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ON
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBA PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO.    A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE.  HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA SUNDAY MORNING.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE NORTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  86.9W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  70 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 300SE 125SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  86.9W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  87.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N  86.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.0N  84.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.3N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N  77.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 41.0N  66.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 46.0N  55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 46.0N  42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N  86.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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