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Tropical Depression TWENTY-FOUR (Text)

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL242005
0900Z SUN OCT 16 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  79.3W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  79.3W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  79.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.9N  79.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.9N  80.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.3N  81.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.0N  82.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 19.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N  84.0W...NEAR WESTERN CUBA
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  79.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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