Tropical Storm STAN

ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL202005
2100Z MON OCT 03 2005
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM EAST OF PUNTA EL
LAGARTO TO CHILITEPEC.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE
OF THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  92.6W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE  45SE   0SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  92.6W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  92.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N  93.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.4N  94.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.2N  95.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.1N  95.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.0N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  92.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
$$
NNNN