Tropical Storm STAN

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TROPICAL STORM STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL202005
1500Z MON OCT 03 2005
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM CABO
ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO.  ALTHOUGH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE OF
THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.3W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  92.3W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  91.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.2N  93.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N  94.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.8N  95.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.5N  96.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  60SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  92.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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