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Hurricane OPHELIA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0300Z SUN SEP 18 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA
EXCEPT FOR CUMBERLAND AND COLCHESTER COUNTIES.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUMBERLAND AND
COLCHESTER COUNTIES OF NOVA SCOTIA...AND FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.9N  63.8W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.9N  63.8W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.1N  65.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 46.2N  59.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...135NE 150SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 48.8N  53.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 50.6N  47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.2N  40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N  24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 63.0N  11.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 67.0N   5.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.9N  63.8W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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