Hurricane OPHELIA

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HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
2100Z WED SEP 14 2005
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM SOUTH
OF LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES
LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT
COMFORT.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HR.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  77.2W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 200SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  77.2W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.9N  77.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 34.8N  76.4W...NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT NC
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 35.3N  75.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 36.0N  74.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 37.5N  72.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 41.3N  65.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 46.0N  56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 49.0N  41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  77.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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