Hurricane OPHELIA

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
0300Z WED SEP 14 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO
SOUND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT
NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND...AND SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HR.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  78.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  45SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 225SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  78.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  78.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.4N  77.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.4N  76.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.1N  75.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.7N  74.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 38.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 42.5N  61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 47.0N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N  78.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
$$
NNNN