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Hurricane OPHELIA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
1500Z TUE SEP 13 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
SOUND...AND FROM SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  78.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 240SE 225SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  78.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.9N  78.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.9N  77.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.9N  76.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 35.4N  75.7W...INLAND/PAMLICO SOUND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 36.7N  72.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 41.0N  65.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 47.0N  53.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N  78.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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