Hurricane OPHELIA

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162005
2100Z FRI SEP 09 2005
 
INTERESTS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OPHELIA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  78.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  78.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  78.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 30.6N  78.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 31.3N  77.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.5N  77.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 31.6N  78.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 32.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 33.0N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 35.0N  79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.0N  78.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
$$
NNNN