Tropical Depression FOURTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142005
2100Z THU SEP 01 2005
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  46.6W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  46.6W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  46.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.3N  48.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 21.3N  49.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 22.5N  51.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 23.7N  52.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 29.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 33.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N  46.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA
 
 
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