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Hurricane KATRINA


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122005
1500Z FRI AUG 26 2005

CORRECTED INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES THROUGH 36 HOURS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM DRY TORTUGAS NORTHWARD... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY WESTWARD AND NORTHWARD
TO LONGBOAT KEY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ANCLOTE KEY.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  82.2W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  40SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  82.2W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  81.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.2N  83.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 25.5N  84.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  35SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.2N  85.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 27.1N  85.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 29.5N  86.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 34.5N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 40.5N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  82.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 26-Aug-2005 14:55:02 UTC