Hurricane IRENE

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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092005
2100Z MON AUG 15 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N  66.0W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N  66.0W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  66.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 37.3N  64.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 38.4N  61.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 40.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  70SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 43.0N  54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 200SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 50.5N  43.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 200SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 420SE 240SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 58.0N  35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N  66.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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