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Hurricane EMILY


ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052005
0900Z SUN JUL 17 2005
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND THE
EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL
NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE... INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE ISLAS
MUJERES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE ON
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO CAMPECHE.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BELIZE-MEXICO BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
WESTERN CUBA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF EMILY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  82.0W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  35SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE  75SE  50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 215SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  82.0W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  81.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.9N  84.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  35SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  75SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.2N  87.4W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 90NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.5N  90.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
34 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.7N  93.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.0N  97.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 24.5N 102.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  82.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 17-Jul-2005 08:55:01 UTC