Tropical Storm EMILY

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TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052005
1500Z WED JUL 13 2005
 
...CORRECTED OMISSION OF TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF VENEZUELA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CUMANA TO CARACAS...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS NORTH OF THE WATCH AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TOBAGO...GRENADA...
THE GRENADINES... ST. VINCENT...AND ST. LUCIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
TRINIDAD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS AND THE
NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES WESTWARD TO
CUMANA...INCLUDING ISLA MARGARITA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EMILY.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24
HOURS.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  58.1W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  58.1W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  57.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 11.5N  60.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.4N  64.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.3N  67.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.2N  70.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 18.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 19.5N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  58.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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