Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012005
1500Z FRI JUN 10 2005
 
AT 11 AM...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
TO ST MARKS FLORIDA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND A
HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
DURING THE NEXT 36 HR.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CUBA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  84.9W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  84.9W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  84.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.2N  85.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.8N  87.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 31.1N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.8N  88.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 40.0N  86.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  84.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
 
 
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