Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm GREG


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GREG DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SUN AUG 14 2005
 
FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES REVEAL AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTERED JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. BECAUSE
THE OVERALL PATTERN CONTINUES TO BECOME DISORGANIZED THE INITIAL
INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 35 KNOTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BUT WITH PLENTY OF WARM WATER...ONLY
SMALL RELAXATION OF THE SHEAR WILL RESULT IN RE-STRENGTHENING. THIS
IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SINCE BOTH SHIPS AND GFDL
INTENSIFY GREG.

THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN MEADERING FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...AS
THE RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTH...GREG SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE WESTWARD
WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THIS IS THE SOLUTION PROVIDED BY MOST OF TE RELIABLE DYNAMICAL
GUIDANCE.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      14/1500Z 14.5N 115.5W    35 KT
 12HR VT     15/0000Z 14.5N 116.0W    30 KT
 24HR VT     15/1200Z 14.5N 118.5W    30 KT
 36HR VT     16/0000Z 14.5N 120.5W    35 KT
 48HR VT     16/1200Z 14.5N 122.5W    40 KT
 72HR VT     17/1200Z 14.5N 126.0W    45 KT
 96HR VT     18/1200Z 14.5N 128.5W    55 KT
120HR VT     19/1200Z 14.5N 130.5W    65 KT
 
 
$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 14-Aug-2005 14:40:12 UTC