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Tropical Storm EUGENE


ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED JUL 20 2005
 
DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED...AND THE SYSTEM IS NOW A SWIRL OF
LOW CLOUDS WITH SOME MULTI-LAYERED MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUD CONVECTIVE
DEBRIS.  SINCE EUGENE WILL BE MOVING OVER WATERS COOLER THAN 24 DEG
C...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW WITHIN
12 TO 24 HOURS.  ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TODAY.
 
FIRST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE CENTER IS LOCATED SOMEWHAT
TO THE NORTHEAST OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES.  THEREFORE SOME RELOCATION
IS REQUIRED.  INITIAL MOTION IS ROUGHLY 315/8.  A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE WEST IS ANTICIPATED AS EUGENE...OR ITS REMNANT...FOLLOWS THE
LOW-LEVEL TRADEWIND FLOW.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      20/1500Z 21.7N 111.2W    30 KT
 12HR VT     21/0000Z 22.3N 112.5W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     21/1200Z 22.7N 114.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     22/0000Z 23.0N 116.8W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     22/1200Z 23.0N 119.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 20-Jul-2005 14:55:07 UTC