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Hurricane WILMA


ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
 
WILMA HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN SINCE PASSING OVER FLORIDA.  AN
AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED 850 MB FLIGHT
LEVEL WINDS OF 132 KT...CORRESPONDING TO ABOUT 105 KT SURFACE
WINDS...PROVIDING THE BASIS FOR THE ADVISORY INTENSITY.  THE
HURRICANE ALSO CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AND IS NOW RACING
NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 32 KT.  WHEN WILMA TRANSFORMS INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT CERTAIN.  IT MIGHT BE ABLE TO KEEP
FROM BECOMING TOO ENTANGLED WITH THE STRONG BAROCLINIC TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN UNITED STATES FOR 24 HOURS OR MORE WHILE RUNNING
ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE.  WILMA HAS BEEN RATHER RESISTANT
TODAY IN ALLOWING ITS INNER CORE TO BE DISRUPTED...AND IT COULD
MAINTAIN DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND HOLD ON TO
HURRICANE STATUS WELL INTO TOMORROW.  SHORTLY THEREAFTER IT SHOULD
MAKE THE TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL...BUT REGARDLESS OF WHEN THAT
DESIGNATION IS MADE...A LARGE AND STRONG CYCLONE WILL TRAVERSE THE
WESTERN AND NORTHERN ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL DAYS.  THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST FOLLOWS MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS THAT FORECAST THE
EXTRATROPICAL STORM TO TURN MORE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE
CANADIAN MARITIMES.
 
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      24/2100Z 29.0N  77.4W   105 KT
 12HR VT     25/0600Z 33.1N  72.6W    85 KT
 24HR VT     25/1800Z 39.4N  65.2W    70 KT
 36HR VT     26/0600Z 43.1N  58.2W    60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     26/1800Z 45.0N  53.0W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     27/1800Z 46.1N  42.5W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     28/1800Z 47.5N  33.0W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     29/1800Z 51.5N  22.5W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
$$
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Page last modified: Monday, 24-Oct-2005 21:10:13 UTC