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Hurricane OPHELIA


ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005
 
DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...OPHELIA HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT
24-25 KT...ALL THE WHILE LOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THERE
IS NO DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NMI OF THE CENTER...AND EVEN WHAT
CONVECTION THERE IS HAS BEEN RAPIDLY DECREASING. WHILE THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS WELL-DEFINED...SURROUNDING SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOW- TO MID-60F
RANGE. THESE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SUGGEST THAT OPHELIA IS...OR
IS VERY NEAR...BEING AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. OPHELIA
FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEAST OVER OR NEAR THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA TONIGHT...AND ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE
DAY SUNDAY AS POSSIBLY A GALE AREA.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY ON OPHELIA. FUTURE
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE...AND IN HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED
BY NOAA'S OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      18/0300Z 43.9N  63.8W    45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
 12HR VT     18/1200Z 46.2N  59.6W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     19/0000Z 48.8N  53.4W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     19/1200Z 50.6N  47.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     20/0000Z 52.2N  40.5W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     21/0000Z 57.0N  24.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     22/0000Z 63.0N  11.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     23/0000Z 67.0N   5.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 18-Sep-2005 03:40:10 UTC