Hurricane OPHELIA
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HURRICANE OPHELIA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005
THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS MAINLY TO UPGRADE OPHELIA TO A HURRICANE
BASED ON RECENT REPORTS FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA. THE NOAA AIRCRAFT FOUND STEPPED-
FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER WINDS OF 63-66 KT NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
THE CENTER...BENEATH 4000 FT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 83 KT. THE AIR
FORCE RECON FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 76 KT AT 700 MB IN THE SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT ALSO SUPPORTS HURRICANE INTENSITY.
GIVEN THAT OPHELIA IS ALREADY A 65-KT HURRICANE...IT IS QUITE
POSSIBLE THAT THE HURRICANE COULD REACH 70 KT BEFORE LANDFALL
OCCURS.
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 13/2130Z 32.6N 78.1W 65 KT
12HR VT 14/0600Z 33.3N 77.8W 65 KT
24HR VT 14/1800Z 34.3N 77.2W 65 KT
36HR VT 15/0600Z 35.2N 76.1W 65 KT...INLAND/PAMLICO SOUND
48HR VT 15/1800Z 35.7N 74.7W 65 KT...OVER WATER
72HR VT 16/1800Z 37.8N 70.7W 60 KT
96HR VT 17/1800Z 42.5N 62.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 18/1800Z 48.5N 49.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
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