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Hurricane MARIA


ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM MARIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 10 2005
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MARIA HAS FINALLY EVOLVED INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. AS SUCH...THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON MARIA. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. MARIA MIGHT WEAKEN IN THE
SHORT-TERM PRIOR TO STRONG BAROCLINIC DYNAMICS RE-INTENSIFYING THE
EXTRATROPICAL MARIA INTO A LARGE AND POWERFUL CYCLONE WITH WINDS TO
HURRICANE FORCE.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION IS 050/15.  MARIA SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE FOR 72 HR...THEN GRADUALLY TURN
EASTWARD AS IT APPROACHES ICELAND.  THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS
ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.  THE FORECAST WIND
RADII ARE ADJUSTED BASED ON LATEST DYNAMICAL MODELS. 
 
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      10/0900Z 43.6N  38.6W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 12HR VT     10/1800Z 45.8N  36.6W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     11/0600Z 49.7N  34.1W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     11/1800Z 54.1N  31.5W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     12/0600Z 56.6N  28.8W    65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     13/0600Z 62.1N  18.0W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     14/0600Z 65.5N   2.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     15/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Saturday, 10-Sep-2005 08:55:10 UTC