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Hurricane MARIA


ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM MARIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 09 2005
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MARIA IS STARTING TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS AS IT INTERACTS WITH WITH A MID/UPPER-LEVEL
WESTERLY TROUGH AND MOVES OVER COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 
THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HR...BUT CONTINUE AND
EVEN RE-INTENSIFY AS A BAROCLINIC LOW BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY
ANOTHER LOW IN ABOUT 120 HR NEAR OR OVER SCANDINAVIA.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 050/14.  MARIA SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD WITH ACCELERATION FOR 72 HR...THEN GRADUALLY TURN
EASTWARD AT HIGH LATITUDE.  THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF
THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.

FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      10/0300Z 42.5N  39.8W    50 KT
 12HR VT     10/1200Z 44.5N  38.0W    50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     11/0000Z 48.2N  35.5W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     11/1200Z 52.0N  33.5W    60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     12/0000Z 55.7N  31.5W    65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     13/0000Z 61.0N  24.0W    55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     14/0000Z 66.0N   9.0W    45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     15/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
 
$$
NNNN



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Page last modified: Saturday, 10-Sep-2005 02:55:08 UTC