Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm HARVEY


ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY DISCUSSION NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN AUG 07 2005

HARVEY HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH THE
ESTIMATED CENTER NEAR THE SOUTHWEST EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 
DVORAK T-NUMBERS...BASED ON A SHEAR PATTERN...REMAIN AT 3.0...45
KT.  HARVEY WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS WITHIN 24 HOURS AND
SHOULD BEGIN TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS SOON. 
HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE
WINDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 045/11.  HARVEY IS MOVING WITH A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES.  GLOBAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE
STEERING FLOW WILL WEAKEN LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THAT THE
CYCLONE COULD BECOME CUT OFF FROM THE MAIN BRANCH OF WESTERLIES. 
BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...THE TRACK GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE
SYSTEM MAY EVEN MOVE A LITTLE SOUTHWARD.  GIVEN THE
UNCERTAINTIES...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MOVES THE CYCLONE VERY SLOWLY
FROM DAYS 4 TO 5.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      08/0300Z 37.8N  51.5W    45 KT
 12HR VT     08/1200Z 38.8N  50.1W    40 KT
 24HR VT     09/0000Z 39.8N  48.1W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     09/1200Z 40.7N  46.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     10/0000Z 41.5N  44.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     11/0000Z 42.5N  40.0W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     12/0000Z 43.0N  36.5W    35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     13/0000Z 43.0N  35.0W    35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
$$
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 08-Aug-2005 02:55:05 UTC