Tropical Storm CINDY

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TROPICAL STORM CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005
 
SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS BUT DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
CIRCULATION IS BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED AND WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO 45 TO 50 KTS AT FLIGHT LEVEL WITHIN A CONVECTIVE BAND
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER AND THE CENTRAL PRESSURE DROPPED TO 1002
MB. THEREFORE...THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM
CINDY...THE THIRD NAMED CYCLONE OF THE SEASON.
 
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
STRENGTHENING..BUT THE SHEAR IS LIGHT ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME
ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN INTENSITY BEFORE LANDFALL. THIS IS INDICATED
BY SHIPS AND THE GFDL.
 
CINDY APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES
AT 12 KNOTS.  A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN BAHAMAS WILL
LIKELY FORCE CINDY ON A GENERAL NORTHWARD TRACK TOWARD THE
LOUISIANA COAST AND DUE TO THE IN INITIAL MOTION AND LATEST TRACK
GUIDANCE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE BIT TO
THE RIGHT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      05/0900Z 25.6N  90.4W    35 KT
 12HR VT     05/1800Z 27.3N  90.7W    40 KT
 24HR VT     06/0600Z 29.3N  90.5W    45 KT
 36HR VT     06/1800Z 31.0N  90.0W    30 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     07/0600Z 32.5N  88.5W    25 KT...INLAND
 72HR VT     08/0600Z 34.9N  85.4W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 96HR VT     09/0600Z 37.2N  82.7W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     10/0600Z 40.1N  78.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
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