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Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT MON OCT 25 2004

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRING OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO NORTHWARD TO TOPOLOBAMPO.
HOWEVER...THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST OR
ABOUT  25 MILES... 40 KM...WEST OF ALTATA MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO 
ABOUT  80 MILES... 130 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TOPOLOBAMPO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH
...30 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL
LANDFALL OCCURS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL
OCCURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
RADAR DATA FROM GUASAVE MEXICO INDICATE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS
BEEN OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...24.6 N...108.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM
PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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