ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 11 2004 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS JUST SOUTH OF THE MEXICAN COAST... INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.2 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 100 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT... WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH COULD BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...14.9 N... 97.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Oct-2004 02:26:32 UTC