ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 11 2004 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ACAPULCO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES... 150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD NEAR 3 MPH ... 5 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER ANY MOTION TO THE NORTH COULD BRING STRONG WINDS ON THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR EARLY TUESDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 96.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Oct-2004 20:36:33 UTC