Tropical Depression FIFTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT MON OCT 11 2004
 
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO...

INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO
ACAPULCO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  96.8
WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES... 150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ANGEL
MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD NEAR 3 MPH ... 5 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE. HOWEVER ANY MOTION TO THE
NORTH COULD BRING STRONG WINDS ON THE COAST. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
EARLY TUESDAY. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS
AREAS.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 96.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH
 
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