Hurricane JAVIER

ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT FRI SEP 17 2004

...JAVIER WEAKENS SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ENGENIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ENGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JAVIER WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.6 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES
...235 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
JAVIER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TOMORROW.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 85 MILES...140 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 3 FT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.  DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
ARE LIKELY ON THE WESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE CYCLONE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...22.7N...112.6W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
AT 2 AM PDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART/AGUIRRE
 
$$
NNNN