000 WTNT34 KNHC 070243 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST MON SEP 06 2004 ..DANGEROUS IVAN MAINTAINS INTENSITY...NEARS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. LUCIA...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...TOBAGO...AND GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TRINIDAD. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVAN. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES... 335 KM... SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH ...33 KM/HR. IVAN IS EXPECTED TO TAKE A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED AS IVAN PASSES THROUGH THE ISLANDS. THIS CAN CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND DANGEROUS MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...11.2 N... 57.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 963 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER LAWRENCE/HENNON $$
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 07-Sep-2004 18:42:03 UTC