ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT MON SEP 06 2004 ...LARGE CIRCULATION CENTER OF FRANCES EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER TODAY... AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND AND FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO DESTIN. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND AND FROM INDIAN PASS TO DESTIN. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE GEORGIA COAST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE LARGE CIRCULATION CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FRANCES SHOULD MOVE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN THE WINDS COULD BRING FRANCES TO HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE LANDALL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF CEDAR KEY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF CEDAR KEY...ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... ESPECIALLY ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF FRANCES. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...29.5 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 06-Sep-2004 14:32:40 UTC