ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT SUN SEP 05 2004 ...FRANCES REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL STORM...IS MOVING OFFSHORE TO THE GULF OF MEXICO... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO DESTIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM SOUTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO OCEAN REEF INCLUDING ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TAMPA FLORIDA. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF FRANCES IS AT THE GULF COAST AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE WATERS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONAY AND THEN MOVE INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THERE IS CHANCE THAT FRANCES COULD AGAIN BECOME A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTH FLORIDA EAST COAST BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE ON MONDAY. ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE PATH OF FRANCES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE PATH OF THE STORM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ALONG FRANCES WIDE PATH. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...28.3 N... 82.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE $$ NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 06-Sep-2004 02:32:35 UTC