Tropical Depression TWO

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM AST WED AUG 04 2004
 
...POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING THROUGH
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE
...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND HAITI LATER TODAY.
 
AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE
61.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM...WEST ST. LUCIA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1000 FEET.  SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM IF IT IS ABLE TO MAINTAIN A CLOSED
CIRCULATION.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM.  THE AIRCRAFT MAY FIND THAT THE
SYSTEM HAS LOST ITS CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION AND DEGENERATED INTO AN
OPEN WAVE.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
 
SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...13.8 N... 61.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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