Subtropical Storm NICOLE
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SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN OCT 10 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT WED OCT 13 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
40.3N 63.4W 20 1 1 X 22 EASTPORT ME 1 8 3 X 12
42.3N 63.8W 12 5 1 X 18 ST JOHN NB 1 8 4 X 13
42.3N 65.0W 11 5 1 X 17 MONCTON NB 1 7 4 X 12
BERMUDA 99 X X X 99 YARMOUTH NS 4 8 2 X 14
MONTAUK POINT NY X 1 2 X 3 HALIFAX NS 3 9 3 X 15
PROVIDENCE RI X 1 4 X 5 SABLE ISLAND NS 1 8 2 X 11
NANTUCKET MA X 3 3 X 6 SYDNEY NS X 5 3 X 8
HYANNIS MA X 3 3 X 6 EDDY POINT NS 1 7 3 X 11
BOSTON MA X 2 4 X 6 PTX BASQUES NFLD X 2 2 X 4
PORTLAND ME X 3 4 X 7 BURGEO NFLD X 1 2 X 3
BAR HARBOR ME 1 6 4 X 11 ILE ST PIERRE X 1 1 X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
C FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
D FROM 8PM TUE TO 8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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