Tropical Storm HERMINE
ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON AUG 30 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU SEP 2 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
41.5N 69.5W 36 4 X X 40 PORTLAND ME 7 16 X X 23
45.7N 65.1W X 14 X X 14 BAR HARBOR ME 2 21 X X 23
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 3 X X X 3 EASTPORT ME X 20 X X 20
NEW YORK CITY NY 8 X X X 8 ST JOHN NB X 17 X X 17
MONTAUK POINT NY 31 2 X X 33 MONCTON NB X 12 X X 12
PROVIDENCE RI 29 3 X X 32 YARMOUTH NS 1 19 X X 20
NANTUCKET MA 40 2 X X 42 HALIFAX NS X 11 X X 11
HYANNIS MA 35 3 X X 38 SABLE ISLAND NS X 2 X X 2
BOSTON MA 22 7 X X 29 EDDY POINT NS X 4 X X 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN
$$
NNNN