Tropical Storm HERMINE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED SEP  1 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.6N  73.1W      42  X  X  X 42   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X 16  X  X 16
39.0N  72.0W       1 22  X  X 23   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  9  X  X  9
WILMINGTON NC      2  2  X  X  4   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  6  X  X  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC  10  6  X  X 16   PROVIDENCE RI      X  3  X  X  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC  23  5  X  X 28   NANTUCKET MA       X  3  X  X  3
NORFOLK VA         5 16  X  X 21   HYANNIS MA         X  2  X  X  2
OCEAN CITY MD      1 22  X  X 23
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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