Hurricane FRANCES
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 06 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT THU SEP 9 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.7N 85.3W 41 X X X 41 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 6 6
35.0N 85.0W 21 2 1 X 24 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5
37.0N 84.0W 1 8 5 2 16 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 1 1 X 3 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 2 2
SAVANNAH GA 2 3 2 X 7 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC X 3 3 1 7 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 3 2 6 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X X 3 3 6 ST MARKS FL 99 X X X 99
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 4 5 APALACHICOLA FL 1 1 X X 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 4 5 PANAMA CITY FL 3 X 1 X 4
NORFOLK VA X X 1 6 7 PENSACOLA FL 1 1 1 X 3
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 7 7 MOBILE AL X 1 1 X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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