Hurricane FRANCES

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TROPICAL STORM FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 06 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU SEP  9 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.0N  85.5W      40  X  X  X 40   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  6  6
34.5N  85.0W      19  3  1  X 23   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
36.0N  84.0W       2 10  4  2 18   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  X  1  2   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    3  3  X  1  7   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        3  5  1  1 10   CEDAR KEY FL       2  1  X  X  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  3  4  2  9   ST MARKS FL       99  X  X  X 99
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  4  3  8   APALACHICOLA FL   99  X  X  X 99
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3  4  7   PANAMA CITY FL    24  X  1  X 25
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  5  6   PENSACOLA FL       6  1  X  X  7
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  5  5   MOBILE AL          1  1  X  X  2
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  7  7   GULF 29N 85W       1  1  X  X  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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