Hurricane FRANCES
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT MON SEP 6 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.0N 79.8W 50 X X X 50 FT MYERS FL 16 4 1 X 21
27.6N 81.2W 28 2 1 X 31 VENICE FL 8 10 1 1 20
28.7N 83.1W X 15 5 2 22 TAMPA FL 4 16 1 1 22
MYNN 251N 775W 99 X X X 99 CEDAR KEY FL X 14 6 2 22
MYGF 266N 787W 99 X X X 99 ST MARKS FL X 3 12 4 19
MARATHON FL 5 2 X 1 8 APALACHICOLA FL X 2 12 4 18
MIAMI FL 26 X X X 26 PANAMA CITY FL X 1 10 6 17
W PALM BEACH FL 42 X X X 42 PENSACOLA FL X X 5 9 14
FT PIERCE FL 41 X X X 41 MOBILE AL X X 2 10 12
COCOA BEACH FL 31 2 1 X 34 GULFPORT MS X X 1 9 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL 9 13 1 1 24 BURAS LA X X 1 7 8
JACKSONVILLE FL X 10 7 3 20 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 7 7
SAVANNAH GA X 1 7 7 15 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 4 4
CHARLESTON SC X X 3 7 10 GULF 29N 85W X 4 10 4 18
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 5 6 GULF 29N 87W X X 7 6 13
WILMINGTON NC X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 5 6
KEY WEST FL 2 1 1 1 5 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
MARCO ISLAND FL 15 3 X X 18
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
NNNN