Hurricane FRANCES
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 02 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SUN SEP 5 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.0N 77.8W 49 X X X 49 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2
27.0N 79.5W 17 12 X 1 30 KEY WEST FL X 3 1 3 7
27.7N 80.5W 2 19 2 1 24 MARCO ISLAND FL X 10 3 2 15
MYSM 241N 745W 99 X X X 99 FT MYERS FL X 11 3 3 17
MYEG 235N 758W 51 X X X 51 VENICE FL X 8 5 4 17
MYAK 241N 776W 32 X X X 32 TAMPA FL X 8 6 4 18
MYNN 251N 775W 51 X X X 51 CEDAR KEY FL X 2 9 6 17
MYGF 266N 787W 34 2 X X 36 ST MARKS FL X X 4 11 15
MARATHON FL 1 5 1 2 9 APALACHICOLA FL X X 3 11 14
MIAMI FL 8 11 X 1 20 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 11 13
W PALM BEACH FL 9 15 1 1 26 PENSACOLA FL X X X 9 9
FT PIERCE FL 3 20 1 1 25 MOBILE AL X X X 7 7
COCOA BEACH FL 1 18 2 2 23 GULFPORT MS X X X 5 5
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 10 6 4 20 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
JACKSONVILLE FL X 1 8 8 17 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3
SAVANNAH GA X X 2 10 12 GULF 29N 85W X X 5 9 14
CHARLESTON SC X X 1 7 8 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 9 10
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 89W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
NNNN