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Hurricane FRANCES


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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE AUG 31 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI SEP  3 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.5N  68.7W      53  X  1  X 54   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X 14 14
22.5N  71.0W       2 32  X  X 34   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  6  6
23.5N  73.0W       X 13 12  1 26   MIAMI FL           X  X  X 10 10
MTPP 186N 724W     X  1  X  1  2   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X 10 10
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  4  2  6   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  9  9
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  6  7   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  8  8
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  5  5
MDPP 198N 707W     4  9  X  1 14   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     3 26  X  X 29   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
MYMM 224N 730W     X 16  7  1 24   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  5  5
MYSM 241N 745W     X  1 18  4 23   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  5  5
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X 11  8 19   VENICE FL          X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  2 13 15   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  3  3
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1 16 17   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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